Forecasting Summertime Shower Activity at Grand Junction, Colorado
Abstract
Due to the lack of a dense network of reporting stations in the Grand Junction, Colorado area and the inadequate representation of shower activity by observations of rain at a single rain gage, certain arbitrary criteria were set up to define a “shower” day at Grand Junction. Relationships of a number of meteorological variables to shower activity were determined and the four variables which showed the strongest relationships were combined graphically to form an objective forecast aid for determining the probability of shower activity at Grand Junction during the 18-hour period 1130MST to 0530MST. Tests on independent data confirm the relationship found in the developmental data.
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